Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.110778 2.443280 2.808774 3.240035 3.734693 4.284039 4.940129
2025-03-02 1.542593 1.950226 2.436812 3.059351 3.833608 4.763804 5.965190
2025-03-09 1.234981 1.686661 2.266017 3.061175 4.121626 5.484488 7.366218
2025-03-16 0.981569 1.437556 2.061599 2.973817 4.268605 6.035259 8.622868
2025-03-23 0.867133 1.351544 2.053785 3.139204 4.766751 7.107049 10.716276
2025-03-30 0.760607 1.255371 2.011509 3.241344 5.179847 8.102958 12.825881
2025-04-06 0.654737 1.140021 1.919071 3.247593 5.440630 8.895612 14.721897
2025-04-13 0.537065 0.984315 1.736866 3.079390 5.394837 9.196928 15.872539
2025-04-20 0.486430 0.933782 1.719089 3.178000 5.794943 10.253996 18.369527
2025-04-27 0.452671 0.907342 1.737599 3.339139 6.318196 11.570400 21.450862
2025-05-04 0.411638 0.860224 1.711072 3.412718 6.690040 12.659437 24.248620
2025-05-11 0.371946 0.809092 1.669023 3.449386 6.994153 13.654170 26.977324
2025-05-18 0.321699 0.730070 1.564848 3.357159 7.052176 14.223375 29.024527
2025-05-25 0.272427 0.644816 1.435567 3.195497 6.950452 14.474081 30.486020
2025-06-01 0.245685 0.604748 1.394636 3.212216 7.215164 15.474948 33.556442
2025-06-08 0.214725 0.549697 1.313101 3.129118 7.256884 16.026388 35.767703
2025-06-15 0.206084 0.546398 1.346800 3.307965 7.892249 17.886436 40.947067
2025-06-22 0.193509 0.531243 1.350786 3.418481 8.387309 19.499037 45.768641
2025-06-29 0.176159 0.500896 1.314065 3.426865 8.646715 20.620578 49.623014
2025-07-06 0.151124 0.445777 1.208209 3.250719 8.444226 20.675931 51.055380
2025-07-13 0.142830 0.435115 1.213472 3.355202 8.939498 22.397112 56.558364
2025-07-20 0.138064 0.433660 1.242554 3.525340 9.620142 24.629122 63.517952
2025-07-27 0.129654 0.420111 1.237217 3.603080 10.072932 26.357248 69.432291